In 2023, higher interest rates brought a pleasant surprise to savers, providing them with the best rates on their cash in years. While the possibility of future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve exists, 2024 is still promising in terms of returns on cash. This article critically analyzes the current situation and highlights the opportunities for savers to maximize their earnings.
According to Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate, yields are expected to decrease this year. However, he assures that it will still be a great year for savers, especially those who take action now. McBride’s statement is supported by the fact that yields are currently at an unprecedented high, as noted by Douglas Boneparth, president and founder of Bone Fide Wealth. These optimistic projections are contingent on the Federal Reserve’s response to inflation data.
Inflation has recently exceeded expectations, with a 3.4% increase compared to the previous year, surpassing the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller emphasized the need for careful consideration and a patient approach with future rate cuts. McBride predicts that interest rate changes are unlikely to occur before June. Consequently, with the end of interest rate increases in sight, it is safe to assume that cash returns have reached their peak.
McBride advises those interested in multiyear certificates of deposit (CDs) to seize the opportunity and lock in their investments. CDs are products offered by banks or credit unions that guarantee a certain return if the money remains untouched for a specific period. Short-term CDs with terms ranging from three months to one year may witness faster changes, primarily due to the impending interest rate cuts. Currently, top six-month and one-year CDs are offering annual percentage yields of approximately 5.5%, as reported by Bankrate. However, longer three-year and five-year CD rates are slightly lower, with rates of 4.75% and 4.6% respectively.
While CDs provide a “risk-free return” due to Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) coverage and the requirement to go through a bank, there may be alternative options to consider. McBride suggests that savers evaluate whether tax-exempt Treasurys might be a better choice. Treasurys have the advantage of exemption from state and local taxes, making them potentially more beneficial in certain circumstances. However, an important caveat to consider is the possibility that the Federal Reserve’s anticipated rate cuts may not materialize if the economy takes a different course.
Before committing funds to a CD, financial experts warn about the importance of liquidity. Ted Jenkin, a certified financial planner and CEO and founder of oXYGen Financial, advises having a liquid emergency fund before investing in a CD. This precaution becomes vital due to the potential application of early withdrawal penalties. Experts recommend having three to six months’ worth of living expenses set aside to cover sudden income loss or unexpected financial emergencies.
Despite decreasing yields, online savings accounts remain an attractive option for savers. McBride points out that these accounts continue to offer annual percentage yields above 5%. However, it is essential to bear in mind that these rates are not guaranteed and may fluctuate as the timeline for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts becomes more certain.
When considering how to allocate money, experts emphasize the importance of aligning investments with the timeframe of one’s financial goals. For long-term objectives, such as retirement, higher returns are achievable by assuming more risk and investing in the stock market. Boneparth highlights the missed opportunity for those who favored cash as their preferred asset class in the previous year, as equities outperformed significantly.
Higher interest rates in 2023 have produced favorable conditions for savers. Although the possibility of future rate cuts looms, 2024 is projected to be a promising year for cash returns. Savers are advised to take advantage of the present situation and lock in their investments, leveraging opportunities offered by multiyear CDs. Careful evaluation of alternatives, such as tax-exempt Treasurys, is recommended. Furthermore, maintaining a liquid emergency fund and considering online savings accounts can contribute to a comprehensive savings strategy. Ultimately, aligning investment decisions with financial goals will help maximize returns and avoid missed opportunities.
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